¿La democratización de China solucionaría su conflicto con Taiwán?
Abstract
This article analyzes if the democratization of China would resolve the Taiwan Strait conflict peacefully. Against the prevailing vision in Washington and Taipei, the belligerent character of transitional regimes and the irrelevance of the democratic peace theory to civil wars are highlighted. In addition, given the nationalist attitudes of China’s population and the PLA and the weakness of Chinese institutions, an abrupt and foreign promoted liberalization process is discouraged, since doing so would facilitate the articulation of aggressive nationalist movements. The US and ROC governments are therefore suggested to promote a gradual political liberalization in China and not to take China’s democratization as the solution to the Taiwan conflict.
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