¿La democratización de China solucionaría su conflicto con Taiwán?
Resumen
Este artículo analiza si la democratización de China resolvería pacíficamente el conflicto del estrecho de Taiwán. En contra de la visión imperante en Washington y en Taipei, se llama la atención sobre el carácter beligerante de los regímenes en transición y sobre la inaplicabilidad de la teoría de la paz democrática a las guerras civiles. Además, se desaconseja favorecer desde el exterior un brusco proceso de liberalización política, pues dadas las actitudes nacionalistas de la población y del EPL y la debilidad de las instituciones chinas, ello facilitaría la aparición de movimientos nacionalistas agresivos. Por consiguiente, se sugiere al gobierno taiwanés y al estadounidense que favorezcan un proceso de liberalización política gradual en China y que no fíen en dicho proceso de cambio político la solución del conflicto de Taiwán.
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